Thursday, August 25, 2011

SIA Newsletter 8/24/11 (2) - Irene Track Is Wobbling East and West - Keep Watching Closely

To all Strathmere and Whale Beach Homeowners and Visitors,
The tracking forecasts for Irene as of 8:00 pm this evening show it closest to the South Jersey coast around 6:00 am to 8:00 am Sunday morning (high tide here Sunday morning is at 7:48 - the New Moon is Sunday night).

Here is what's expected for us:

Sandy Hook to Cape May, N.J.
The eye wall of Irene will pass just offshore Sunday morning. Weather conditions will deteriorate Saturday into Saturday evening with wind and rain increasing. Periods of heavy rain, damaging sustained tropical storm-force winds with hurricane-force wind gusts (75 mph) and coastal flooding are possible Saturday night and Sunday. Expect significant beach erosion with a storm surge of 2 to 4 feet.
Below is a representation of what's expected at 6:00 am Sunday:

 
 
Below is a forecast of the impact on Sea Isle City (basically the same as Strathmere). It says that Northeasterly gale force winds should start affecting our area on Saturday, August 27th by 11 PM EDT. The highest wind speeds from Hurricane Irene should occur near 8 AM Sunday when top sustained winds, from the North, could reach 57 MPH with gusts near 72 MPH. Winds are not expected to decrease below gale force until eight hours later (4:00 pm Sunday afternoon).


Northeasterly gale force winds should start affecting the area on Saturday, August 27th at 11 PM EDT. The highest wind speeds from Hurricane IRENE should occur near 8 AM when top sustained winds, from the North, could reach 57 MPH with gusts near 72 MPH. Winds should decrease below gale force 8 hours later.
Sustained winds will fall below gale force after 4 PM and generally be from the North during this period of decreasing winds. Expect gusts above gale force level for several more hours thereafter.
Some minor residential wind damage may occur from Hurricane IRENE in Sea Isle City.
The total rainfall for the Sea Isle City area over the next 3 days is forecast to be 3.8 inches. This can vary significantly as tropical storm and hurricane rainfall is very difficult to predict.
 
 
 
Once again, stay tuned and prepare for the worst!


The Strathmere Improvement Association -


Butch Vandegrift - President
Linda Bateman -Vice-President
Donna Diefenderfer - Treasurer
Dorothy Addario - Recording Secretary
Ken Weaver - Corresponding Secretary





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